This paper suggests a way for forecasting tourists. The forecasting model has two stages of estimation. First stage is the "International Trip Generation". We explain this by using a logistic curve. Second, we proceed to find out the travel destination by using the aggregate logit model. Results for the forecast of tourists coming to Japan lead to two main conclusions. The number of tourists from every Asian country shows the growing tendency until 2030. Moreover, the rate of tourist visiting Japan will decrease gradually (compare to other regions such as North America and Europe where the rate is steadily increasing).
In this study, we implemented a promotion of the railway use as Mobility Management targeting households living around the specific station. Targeting the households living around the station may be easier than targeting the workplace or school because people need to consider only the way to change their behavior from car use to railway use. As results, the frequency of railway use of the households using the railway already was increased. And distance of car use of the households using the railway already was decreased for 30% by TFP with free tickets of public transport. These results support a notion that mobility management targeting households living around the station would be effective to promote public transport use.
The object of this paper is to report about investigation of the ex-post evaluation method of railway projects in Japan. Firstly a result of post-project evaluation about 3 existing railways based on the“Project Evaluation Manual”is reported, secondly the discussions about evaluation method at the Committee meeting is introduced, and finally the issues in accordance with the result of the study is discussed. This paper contribute to the further improvement of Ex-post project evaluation method.
This paper aims to examine economic implications of international standardization in ITS (Intelligent Transport Systems). First we classify standardization activities of private companies into four types with different economic incentives. Then we estimate costs and benefits of companies’ participation into standardization activities in the case of a successful working group of ISO/TC204, concluding that participation in international standardization is justified economically even if intellectual property issue is not involved.