Though the number of fresh cases of leprosy have decreased in recent years in Gif u prefecture, the total number of patients in the leprosarium and in private homes has increased by 21 in the past 20 years due to decrease in mortality. Including undetected cases, it is believed that there are 246 cases (1.58per 10, 000) at the present time.
The number of non-hospitalized patients, being treated at home, have decreased by 113 in the past 20 years and there are only 24 known cases at present (0.15per 10, 000). Of these, 46% are over 60 years of age and more than 11 years have elapsed since onset in 71%. It will be a difficult problem however, to induce these patients to enter leprosaria and reduce the number of home patients.
The small number of home patients with the L-form, the marked shift to the right in the age distribution curve both in the total number and in the fresh cases, the high proportion of cases in which 11 years or more have elapsed since onset, the type ratio (L/M+N) in fresh cases and the reduction in sex ratio all suggest that the epidemic of leprosy in Gifu prefecture is nearing the end of its course. Gifu has reached the average level of the whole country and can no longer be considered a leprosy prevalent prefecture. It must be noted however, that the incidence of leprosy in Koreans living in the prefecture is abnormally high. It can be assumed that the number of undetected cases has decreased sharply due to the program of early examination and detection.
It has been said that there are about 15, 000 leprosy patients, including undetected cases, in Japan but it is believed that this number is too high and ca. 13, 000 (1.46per 10, 000) is considered more closer to the actual number.
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