Variations of precipitation in June and July over Japan (Baiu precipitation) are studied for a 30-year period of 1951-1980 with special emphasize on the occurrence of wet (large precipitation) and dry (small precipitation) Baiu season.
EOF analysis is aplied to monthly total precipitation (R), monthly total sunshine-duration (S), monthly mean surface temperature (T) in June and July. In spite of sporadic and localized nature of Baiu precipitation, ∼50% of the R-variance is accounted by the 1st EOF component. The 1st spatial function (B
1(x)) of R shows localized maximum value over southwestern Japan while B
1(x) of T shows localized maximum value over northeastern Japan.
Any significant trend and periodic long-term variations are not seen in the 1st EOF's time variation function (A
1(t)) of R.
The relations among A
1(t) of R, S, T and large-scale conditions in the East Asia are examined. A
1(t) of R is positively correlated with anomaly of U and V-component of 700mb wind in the northern periphery of the Pacific anticyclone (ΔU
700 and ΔV
700) and negatively with A
1(t) of T. While ΔU
700 is negatively correlated with A
1(t) of T, the correlation between ΔV
700 and ΔU
700 and that between ΔU
700 and A
1(t) of T are very small.
From the analysis, following two independent large-scale conditions favorable for wet Baiu are pointed out;
1) positive ΔV
700, and
2) negative A
1(t) of T (in many cases concurrent with positive ΔU
700, northeasterly flow from polar airmass to the north side of Baiu front, development of Baiu ridge and trough).
View full abstract