Smallpox patients have been extremely rare in our country in recent years, and still less have we a chance to-day to observe a mass incidende of the disease. These circumstances have made us to regard our own experiences in epidemiological and clinical surveys more notewothy, which we performed in Mukden for several years before the end of the war. What interested us most from the epidemiological point of view, was the favourable effect of vaccination, and the study was concentrated to emphasize the difference between the vaccinated and the unvaccinated.
1) Epidemiological investigations revealed that the incidence rate of smallpox among the vaccinated was below 1/10 of that of the unvaccinated. For the comparison of the severity of disease the index of variola types (V.T.I.) was calculated, which was determined by variola vera+variola haemorrhagica/variola without exanthema+variola mitigata×10.
This gave a low value of 4.4 for the vaccinatd, while that of the unvaccinated was 295.0. As a matter of course there was a considerable difference in the case mortality rate between both groups, that of the vaccinated being only 5.6% in contrast with a high figure of 53.5% of the unvaccinated.
2) The development of clinical symptoms, subjective as well as objective, was in every respect less remarkable in the group of the vaccinated. The prodromic exanthema, characteristic to the vaccinated, was observed in 47.5 to 69.0% of the vaccinated patients. It predicted generally a mild course of the disease, with the exception of purpuric exanthema, which, though occurring extremely rarely, meant always a serious prognosis, and was attributed to a very insufficiently acquired immunity. The presence of such cases, though very rare, indicated the necessity of more radical vaccination.
3) Serious prognosis was suggested, when the nuclear index of neutrophilic leukocytes gradually fell with the progress of the disease, accompanied by neutropenia. In the unvaccinated, remarkable leukocytosis was induced by uniform increase in every type of leukocytes, almost without any change in the percentage, while in the vaccinated an initial leukopenia, caused by a decrease of lymphocytes and neutrophilic leukocytes, preceded leukocytosis, which was brought about by an increase of lymphocytes. The initial reduction of lymphocytes and neutrophilic leukocytes, though unexplained in its cause, was of practical importance in differentiating smallpox from other similar diseases.
4) The modification or alleviation of clinical features of smallpox by the vaccination, as described in 1)-3), was augmented by repeated vaccinations and when the time elapsed since the vaccination was short. The clinical manifestations of the disease were slight in such cases, and this was naturally ascribed to well developed immunity.
In such a country as Manchuria, where smallpox was endemic, the necessity was realized by the author to execute the vaccination at least once a year immediately prior to the season of prevalence, that is, in December and January, especially in view of the distinguished preventive effect of vaccination. It was further regarded to be of utmost importance to generalize the vaccination among the Manchurian and Korean inhabitants. In Japan the rate of effectual vaccination at the first period prescribed by law is 100%, that at the second period just before the school age 90-99% and at the third period at the completion of the primary course it is not less than 50-70%. Because the vaccination is seldom performed except on the three occasions prescribed by law, and the effect of the vaccination can hardly be expected to last beyond 2 or 3 years, the immunity of the total population against smallpox must be highly insufficient. They are accordingly exposed to an explosive mass incidence of severe smallpox, in the event of coming into, contact with the virus, which may be introduced from foreign countries.
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