It has been said that “the longer the belt, the shorter the life.” On the other hand, in the experience of Joslin Clinic, the presence of obesity at the onset of diabetes resulted in good prognosis. To clarify the prognosis of Japanese diabetics, we undertook a prospective follow-up study of 1, 629 diabetic patients (898 males, 731 females) who visited our Diabetes Center located in Tokyo in 1976. In the present paper, we describe the results of a four-year follow-up study, especially regarding the effects of body weight on mortality and cause of death among Japanese diabetics.
During this follow-up study, only three cases dropped out within four years from the start. The deaths of 140 cases (98 males, 42 females) among the 1, 629 were confirmed at the end of the four year follow-up. The follow-up rate, therefore, was 99.8%. We obtained death certificates mentioning the causes of death for all the 140 deceased patients.
The cumulative death rate for four years among the 263 diabetics with a relative body weight at the registration of less than 90% was the highest at 11.8% and the greater the relative body weight, the higher the mortality rate. The cumulative death rates among the 812 patients with a relative body weight ranging from 90% to 109%, those among 471 patients with 110% through 129%, and those among 83 patients with 130% and more were 8.7%, 7.4% and 3.6%, respectively.
On the other hand, the cumulative death rate among the patients with a maximum relative body weight before entry less than 90% was as high as 18.2% and those among 364 patients with a maximum body weight range of 90% through 109%, among 662 patients with 110% through 129% and among 570 patients with 130% and more were 6.0%, 7.4% and 11.1%, respectively.
The most frequent cause of death among the groups with relative body weights at the registra tion of less than 90%, 90% through 109% and 110% through 129% was malignant neoplasms. The greater the relative body weight at the registration, the higher the rate of deaths from ischemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease and the lower the rate of deaths from diabetic nephropathy, infections and cirrhosis of the liver. However, there was no significant relationship between the maximum relative body weight before entry and the distribution of causes of death.
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