In a retrospective study, we followed up 292 nondiabetic subjects monitored by fasting plasma glucose (FPG) over 3 years and analyzed their incidence of diabetes. On their first examination at Toma Hospital in 1985-1990, HbA1c was measured and oral glucose tolerance test (OGIT) undertaken. Of the 292, 102 had normal glucose tolerance (NGT) and 190 impaired glucose tolerance (IGT).
The ROC plot for HbAic revealed that 5.6% the most appropriate cutoff for predicting progression to diabetes. Accordingly, subjects were classified into 3 groups based on baseline FPG≥110 mg/d
l, 100-109 mg/d
l, ≤99 mg/d
l) and into 2 groups based on baseline HbA1c (≥5.6%, ≤5.5%). Diabetes was defined as FPG≥126 mg/d
l.
Cumulative incidence of diabetes from each FPG group was higher in the group with FPG (≥110 mg/d
l) than in that with FPG 100-109 mg/d
l or ≤99 mg/d
l.Cumulative incidence of diabetes in combined FPG and HbA1c groups was higher in the group with HbA1c≥5.6% than in that with HbA1c≥5.5%, regardless of FPG.
The incidence of diabetes in subjects whose insulinogenic index (I.I.) was ΔIRI/ΔPG (30-0 min) was<0.4 were higher in the group with HbA1c≥5.6 % than in that in that with HbA1c≤5.5 %, regardless of FPG.
In conclusion, for screened nondiabetic subjects, the use of paired FPG and HbA1c helps to identify potential diabetic subjects.
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