A dynamic model of the national level was developed in the 1st report so as to simulate the behaviour of the waste paper recycling system and to clarify the real issue in this system. In this report, the dynamic simulation on the future trend of waste paper recycling and utilization is carried out based on the developed model and at the same time, the policy that will be the most promising in order to promote the waste paper recycling is made clear.
The following practical measures for the reconciliation of the problem of future waste paper supply and requirement are considered :
(i) To increase the collection of waste paper by steadily rising the price of waste paper ;
(ii) To increase the recovery rate by consolidating the structure of the waste paper collection system ;
(iii) To compensate for the domestic shortage of waste paper by importing it from abroad ;
(iv) To decrease the paper production at the manufacturer by importing paper and board from abroad.
Then, the forecasting of the future trend ranging over from 1979 to 2001 A. D. is performed by carring out the quantitative assessment for these four measures. As a result, it is concluded that the most effective and desirable countermeasure for overcoming the anticipated shortage of waste paper supply in the future is to increase the recovery rate of waste paper up to 60% by revising and consolidating the collection sector.
抄録全体を表示